AGP Executive Report

Security & Violence: Gunmen attacked Bin-Per community in Mangu LGA, Plateau State, killing at least 24 (reports also say up to 30), with survivors describing house-to-house raids, burning of homes and destruction of farmlands; Plateau Governor Caleb Mutfwang condemned the attack and ordered intensified patrols. Elections & Peace: Political parties and presidential candidates signed the First National Peace Accord in Abuja as campaigns begin, with INEC warning of renewed hate speech and toxic polarisation; Tinubu urged restraint and rejection of violence and religious/ethnic manipulation, while Atiku and Makinde were absent. Economy & Consumer Protection: FCCPC opened a fresh probe into cement pricing after complaints that cement costs are manipulated despite excess production capacity. Maritime & Trade: The US Coast Guard lifted a 12-year Condition of Entry on Nigerian vessels, a boost for port competitiveness and maritime security. Drugs & Justice: NDLEA arrested “KC Luxury” at Lagos airport over alleged international cocaine trafficking, seizing 184.5kg worth about N39bn. Governance & Flooding: Abuja lawmakers and officials traded blame over renewed flooding, as FCT authorities face pressure to stop construction on waterways and drainage channels.

NDLEA Crackdown: The agency says it dismantled a cocaine cartel using Nigeria as a transit hub, arresting a fleeing “luxury goods” dealer and an influencer after a courier shipment of 184.5kg cocaine was seized in Lagos. Election Security: Defence Minister Gen. Christopher Musa warns that safeguarding 2027 polls must be intelligence-led and continuous, not last-minute deployments, as cyberattacks and misinformation now threaten democratic legitimacy. Cement Cost Probe: FCCPC flags possible manipulation behind Nigeria’s high cement prices despite surplus capacity, after a three-month cross-country investigation; it also says Nigeria produces more cement than it consumes. Abuja Flood Response: FCT Minister Nyesom Wike orders demolition of buildings blocking waterways in Maitama, saying structures on water channels will be removed within days. Maritime Trade Boost: US Coast Guard lifts Nigeria’s 12-year Condition of Entry on vessels, citing improved compliance with international security standards. Digital Addressing: Nigeria’s new alphanumeric postcode system goes live October 1, with unique postcodes for every home. Education Rankings: UNILAG places second in Nigeria and 23rd in Africa on Webometrics, while UI tops Nigeria in the same ranking. Lagos Transport Enforcement: Lagos warns against illegal use of dealer number plates and says vehicles found violating rules will face action.

Power Sector: FG commissioned upgraded Ijora and Apapa transmission substations in Lagos, adding 208MW to the grid as part of efforts to ease long-standing transmission constraints. Politics (Edo): Edo Governor Okpebholo urged the new House Speaker, Prince Yekini Idiaye, to carry members along, warning that exclusion could deepen divisions after the forced leadership shake-up. Elections (Osun): The UK praised the conduct of Osun’s governorship election but flagged concerns over vote-buying, BVAS/accessibility issues and overcrowding, urging lessons for 2027. Health (Cholera): The EU released €2.3m emergency funding for cholera response across West and Central Africa, with Nigeria getting €1.5m for teams, kits and water/sanitation support. Economy/FX: Naira gained N8.07 at the official market to close at N1,349.53 per dollar. Security/Drugs: Customs handed NDLEA cannabis cookies worth N373.8m, while NDLEA also destroyed N301bn worth of illicit drugs in Lagos. Sports (Super Falcons): NFF ordered the Super Falcons’ technical crew to step down after WAFCON failure and missing the 2027 Women’s World Cup.

Cholera Response: The EU approved €1.5m emergency aid for Nigeria’s cholera fight, including more intervention teams, cholera kits, water and sanitation support, and stronger surveillance. Drug War: NDLEA destroyed illicit drugs worth about ₦301bn in Lagos, including cocaine, heroin, methamphetamine and cannabis, in a court-ordered exercise. Inflation Watch: Nigeria’s headline inflation eased again to 15.43% in July, down from 15.91% in June, with food inflation still rising. Justice for Women: FG deployed a standardised justice-sector platform to track violence against women cases from reporting to resolution, aiming to close data and accountability gaps. Security & Crime Control: Customs handed over 399 seized firearms to the small arms control centre in Lagos, after arrests linked to the consignment. Local Politics: Edo Assembly leadership remains in turmoil as Speaker Blessing Agbebaku resigned, reviving questions about the legislature’s long-running instability. Elections & Democracy: Bauchi LG polls saw low turnout as voters stayed away; meanwhile, Osun election reactions continue, with opposition and civil society groups trading claims about what the result means for 2027. Tech & Skills: FG and Meta launched an AI Academy to train Nigerians for generative AI and startup opportunities, with no-cost courses and pitch support. Education: Lagos State Scholarship Board announced CBT rules and warned applicants against fraudsters demanding money. Agriculture & Food Security: India’s culture minister met Nigeria’s agriculture minister to discuss farmer welfare and food security, including marketing systems. Armed Violence in the North-West: Lakurawa fighters reportedly killed two people and led Friday prayers in a Sokoto mosque before looting shops and POS outlets.

Osun Election Aftermath: President Tinubu congratulates re-elected Governor Ademola Adeleke, urging unity and peace after a divisive poll as INEC declares him winner. Opposition Realignment: Accord, AAC and SDP presidential candidates agree to form a joint democratic force for 2027, warning against “coronation disguised as election.” Anti-Corruption Update: EFCC says it has recovered $60m from Nestoil in its ongoing probe, with a structured repayment plan agreed with lenders. Aviation Costs Clash: Nigeria’s 5% Ticket Sales Charge dispute sparks protests and disrupted flights, with passengers caught in the middle. Capital Market Push: Bank of Industry secures strong demand for a maiden N250bn bond as CBN widens access to OMO bills, boosting investor activity. Energy & Trade: NUPRC begins talks on a domestic crude swap framework to cut logistics costs for local refineries; Nigeria also faces pressure to convert China’s zero-tariff opening into real export gains. Governance & Rights: El-Rufai files a fresh N10bn suit against ICPC over alleged denial of family access while detained. Public Safety: WHO flags Nigeria among countries with recorded attacks on healthcare, citing thousands of deaths and injuries globally.

Osun Election Aftermath: Osun State Governor Ademola Adeleke’s re-election is drawing heavy praise and political lessons, with Nigeria Governors’ Forum, Tinubu, Atiku, Obi and other leaders framing it as proof that voters can beat “Abuja influence” and that democracy will keep flourishing into 2027. Security Updates: In Borno, troops repelled ISWAP attacks on a forward operating base, killing suspected terrorists and recovering weapons; in Sokoto, Rep. Abdussamad Dasuki condemned the Kebbe town attack; and in Benue, Gov. Hyacinth Alia thanked security agencies after the Ukum herdsmen-terror attack. Anti-Drug War: NDLEA arrested a suspected drug kingpin in Lagos and seized 324kg of synthetic cannabis worth ₦972m. Governance & Courts: Former Kaduna governor Nasir El-Rufai sued ICPC over alleged denial of access to his family while in custody. Digital Economy: NiRA is exploring cheaper .ng domain options for SMEs, including discounted bundles and possible domain vouchers. Local Life & Sports: Lagos street football Oshodi 2026 ended with Sheu Close winning the title; Edo Queens added four players ahead of the new season.

Osun Governorship Update: INEC’s collation for Saturday’s Osun election keeps tilting toward incumbent Ademola Adeleke (Accord). Results uploaded show Adeleke leading in most LGAs, including Ede North (35,427 vs 10,283 for APC’s Bola Oyebamiji) and Iwo (27,085 vs 19,660), with EU observers also flagging violence and irregularities like vote trading. Election Integrity & Security: Osun’s election has seen reports of attempts to disrupt collation centres and heavy security at INEC offices, while CSOs praised NSCDC for restraint and professionalism. US-Nigeria Security Ties: The US says it remains committed to working with Nigeria to combat terrorism and protect vulnerable Christian communities. Economy & Finance: Nigeria’s overnight financing market hit a new monthly record of N104.9tn in July, while banks are shifting credit toward agriculture (N3.86tn) as oil and gas exposure declines. Capital Markets Sanctions: SEC ordered capital market operators to cut correspondent banking ties and restrict dealings linked to Iran and North Korea. Pensions Relief: PTAD disbursed ₦3.82bn in pension arrears to 30,356 retirees. Sports: Nigeria’s Super Falcons were knocked out of the 2027 Women’s World Cup race after a 2-1 loss to South Africa.

2027 Court Battle: Atiku Abubakar has filed at the Federal High Court, Abuja, challenging President Bola Tinubu’s qualification to contest in 2027, alleging Tinubu presented a forged NYSC certificate to INEC. Osun Election Tensions: In Ejigbo, Osun, voters protested alleged vote-buying as cash distribution claims sparked unrest; meanwhile police said a tear gas incident during the election was caused by an officer’s negligence, not an attack on voters. Osun Voting Updates: Davido’s father, Deji Adeleke, voted in Ede; APC candidate Bola Oyebamiji and his wife expressed confidence of victory, while elderly voters reported BVAS delays but still cast ballots. Security & Terrorism: Troops in Borno repelled another ISWAP attempt to overrun a base in Biu, killing attackers; in Katsina/Zamfara, troops intercepted an arms and explosives dealer moving 20mm explosives. Kidnapping Case: An Anambra billionaire, Chief Ezeokafor, and a Rev. Sister were released after police launched a manhunt. Cross-border Crime: INTERPOL Abuja arrested and repatriated a Chadian murder suspect to face trial in Chad. Economy & Markets: NGX trading activity jumped in the week ended Aug 14, with investors exchanging N176.06bn; petrol depot prices also fell in major cities as competition increased.

Women’s Football Shock: Nigeria’s Super Falcons miss the FIFA Women’s World Cup for the first time in 35 years after WAFCON heartbreak and a 2-1 playoff loss to South Africa, sparking fresh calls for accountability and a reset in football leadership. NFF Probe: The Nigeria Football Federation has set up a fact-finding committee to investigate Nigeria’s poor international showings, with Fanny Amun chairing a panel focused on the Falcons’ failure to qualify. Labour Tension: Crisis brews inside the Nigeria Labour Congress as affiliates are told not to associate with a pro-Tinubu group, Working People United, with allegations of directive breaches tied to Lagos. Election Anxiety: Governance expert Anthony Ubani warns Nigeria is drifting toward a dangerous electoral moment ahead of 2027, urging Tinubu and INEC to earn legitimacy, not assume it. US-Nigeria Trade Push: The U.S. Mission launches Freedom 250 efforts to deepen agricultural and livestock trade with Nigeria, bringing American expertise to boost productivity and private investment. Energy & Transport: Petrol and diesel prices begin dropping in major markets as crude falls, while calls grow for CNG buses for federal MDAs to ease commuting costs. Wildlife Spotlight: Wild Africa unveils a new TV series on Nigeria’s endangered species protection, airing from Aug. 15 on Channels Television.

Refineries Revival: President Tinubu told NUPENG that Nigeria’s refineries “will come back to work,” saying detailed technical assessments will identify structural, operational, financial and managerial issues blocking productivity, while also noting subsidy savings and ongoing reforms. Digital IDs for Cooperatives: Nigeria begins six-month cooperative revalidation and issues digital credentials (CVN and CoopID) to plug paper records into a national smart registry, with a credit-bureau layer (CoopCHECK) to help lenders. Osun Election Watch: EU observers urged INEC to ensure transparent result transmission for Saturday’s Osun governorship vote, including timely sensitive materials, proper BVAS backup, and publishing collation sheets on IReV. Banks Marketing Spend: Nigeria’s 11 deposit money banks spent N76.54bn on advertising and promotions in Q1 2026, with UBA’s marketing rising sharply, despite tighter CBN scrutiny. Crypto Oversight: A CBN regulatory sandbox for virtual assets could bring clarity and stronger oversight for Nigeria’s crypto and stablecoin market, a sector leader said. Women’s Football Shock: Super Falcons failed to qualify for the 2027 Women’s World Cup after a 2-1 playoff loss to South Africa; the NFF set up a fact-finding committee to probe setbacks. Security & Crime: Police intensified Kogi-Edo border patrols over kidnapping and banditry, while Lagos arrested a suspected Eiye cult member and recovered a pistol. Diplomacy & Trade: The US launched “Freedom 250” to deepen agricultural trade and investment with Nigeria, and Nigeria-China aquatic protocol implementation was urged to boost exports.

Osun 2026 Politics: Osogbo-based Osogbo Progressive Congress (OPU) endorsed APC governorship candidate Munirudeen Bola Oyebamiji ahead of Saturday’s election, urging residents to vote for him. Women’s Football Shock: Nigeria’s Super Falcons crashed out of the 2027 Women’s World Cup for the first time in history after a 2-1 loss to South Africa in the CAF play-off in Casablanca; South Africa advanced to the intercontinental playoffs. Security & Governance Debate: Abuja natives under AOIYEO rejected the federal government’s plan to pilot the National Ranching Policy in the FCT, warning it clashes with the Abuja Master Plan and threatens indigenous lands. Policing Reform Push: A guest column argues the proposed decentralised police system could reshape command and judicial review of police orders, raising fresh constitutional concerns. Aviation Dispute Fallout: Stakeholders urged tougher labour rules after union disruptions hit passengers, while the aviation ministry moved to resolve the issues with airlines and unions. Economy Watch: Nigeria met OPEC’s quota for a third straight month in July, producing 1.67mbpd, even as output fell month-on-month. Business & Markets: Nigeria’s stock market slid again, losing N3.54tn over three days, as investors took profit. Tech & Travel: NCAA plans RFID baggage tracking to cut missing luggage and delays, and a Nigerian travel firm unveiled an AI app for flight booking.

Osun Election Security: Nigeria’s election watchdogs and political leaders are ramping up warnings ahead of Saturday’s Osun governorship vote, with the NHRC urging action against hate speech and intimidation, Yiaga Africa flagging BVAS failures, vote-buying and inflammatory rhetoric, and NSCDC vowing decisive action against any attempt to disrupt the poll. Lagos Court Case: An Ikeja High Court remanded a woman over an alleged N42.3m PMS supply fraud, as EFCC presses its case. Public Finance: The Debt Management Office re-opened three FGN bonds worth N1.1trn for August subscription, while CBN-related litigation continues as a director sues over alleged unlawful termination. State Revenue Snapshot: Lagos leads Nigeria’s 2026 IGR race with ₦1.17trn in H1, dwarfing other states. Cooperatives Digital Push: FG begins a six-month revalidation and re-certification of cooperative societies and launches a unified digital identity system. Security & Crime: Police recovered a stolen newborn in Benue and arrested suspects; in Lagos, police urged residents to partner with officers to fight crime. Energy Law: Ondo’s governor assented to the Electric Power Sector (Amendment) Law, creating new regulatory bodies and mandating metering. Regional Politics: PDP factions in Kebbi split over whether to back APC Gov Idris for 2027.

South Africa-Nigeria Migration Row: South Africa says it spent about R292m (around $18.5m) on repatriations and wants reimbursement from Nigeria, Malawi and Ethiopia after processing about 83,000 migrants at Lindela—no country has responded yet. Capital Markets & Tax: The SEC set a T+1 settlement deadline for stocks and commodities, while investors are also worried about unclear capital gains tax rules that could dent foreign appetite. Oil & Energy: Nigeria met its OPEC quota for a third straight month, producing 1.505m bpd crude plus 0.17m bpd condensate, even as July output dipped overall. Governance & Elections: PDP accuses APC of warlike election rhetoric after a viral threat by Senator Francis Fadahunsi; meanwhile, ADC launched an “Orange Book” code of conduct for 2027 office holders. Security & Health: WHO warns an Ebola outbreak is accelerating fast; in Niger State, police recovered nine bodies after a suspected bandit attack. Lagos Water Crisis: Lagos Water Corporation says it’s pushing rehabilitation at Iju Headworks to restore potable supply amid severe scarcity.

Osun Election Tension: Senator Francis Fadahunsi was summoned and questioned by Osun police over a viral video allegedly urging supporters to “kill” Accord Party members ahead of the Aug. 15 governorship poll, as the Accord Party also seeks EU help to de-escalate violence. University Shutdown Warning: NANS told governors not to trigger another ASUU strike after the union issued 14-day ultimatums to affected schools, warning students will bear the brunt. Foreign Aid Bill Pushback: Human rights groups rejected the proposed Foreign Aids Bill, saying it could restrict civic space by creating a regulator with powers to inspect, sanction and shut down organisations receiving foreign grants. Agriculture Mechanisation: FG unveiled a National Agricultural Mechanisation Policy and Investment Strategy to attract private capital, cut import dependence, and support a mega tractor assembly plan. Security & Humanitarian: Niger police confirmed nine bodies recovered on the Wawa-Lumma road, while Nigeria’s rescue efforts also freed hundreds of kidnapping victims. Lagos Waste Crackdown: LAWMA prosecuted 280 waste offenders between Feb and July 2026, warning against dumping in drains and on highways. Women’s Football: Super Falcons coach Justin Madugu says Nigeria will seize a “second chance” versus South Africa in the World Cup play-off after WAFCON exit.

AWCON Playoff: Super Falcons coach Justine Madugu says Nigeria will “correct” marksmanship as the Super Falcons chase a 2027 World Cup ticket against South Africa in Casablanca after both teams’ Morocco campaigns ended early. Security & Elections: Lagos State Security Trust Fund donates 50 bulletproof vests, 50 ballistic helmets and 100 raincoats to the Nigerian Navy in Apapa, while Nigeria’s NHRC demands arrest and prosecution of Sheikh Jingir over alleged hate speech ahead of 2027. Education & Skills: UNESCO, FG and NBTE push human-centred digital transformation for Nigeria’s TVET system, aiming to link tech skills to jobs. Economy & Policy: CBN opens a second regulatory sandbox for virtual assets and data-enabled finance as MTN Nigeria’s profit-taking drags the NGX down by N1.17tn. Aviation Disruption: Aviation unions picket Air Peace in Lagos and Abuja, grounding flights and stranding passengers; NCAA says a driver may face prosecution after a bus was allegedly driven onto the airside. Agriculture & Food Security: Japan grants Nigeria $3.5m to boost rice seed production, while FG plans six modern ranching settlements to curb farmers-herders clashes. Environment & Lagos Waste: LAWMA moves to replace ageing landfills with recycling and waste-to-energy plants, and KAI rescues nursing mothers and babies from an illegal dumpsite.

Election Integrity & Judiciary: Peter Obi says university professors are now helping “illiterates” rig elections, warning Nigeria’s values and the judiciary are in crisis. Skills & Jobs: EuroCham urges a public-private push to close Nigeria’s $14bn technical skills gap to protect investment momentum. AI Policy: ipNX calls for flexible, innovation-friendly AI rules that let local firms experiment while protecting consumers. Insecurity (Northwest): Police report 10 officers, 17 bandits and two civilians killed in a gunfight in Kebbi. Insecurity (Benue): Troops repel an attack on Azege village, neutralising one suspected herder and recovering an AK-47. Osun Poll Security: Lagos NSCDC deploys massive personnel and assets to Osun ahead of the Aug 15 governorship election. Aviation Disruption: Aviation unions picket Air Peace in Lagos and Abuja, stranding passengers; NCAA urges restraint. Economy & Markets: NGX market capitalisation rebounds to about N160trn as investors buy heavyweights; MTN reports improved first-half earnings. Health: UNFPA offers Nigeria $4.5m matching funds for maternal health medicines; Katsina health workers issue a 21-day ultimatum. Sports: Super Falcons’ WAFCON exit sends them into a tougher 2027 World Cup play-off route against South Africa. Environment: Lagos plans “Waste Marshals” to curb indiscriminate dumping.